2x Leveraged | Dereck's Secular Market Framework
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based trend strategy: leverage stocks in uptrends, cut risk when things look hot, and defend in downtrends with bonds, defensive stocks, or short tech. Uses moving averages for trend and RSI to spot overbought/oversold conditions.
Big picture: call a long‑term uptrend when the S&P 500’s 200‑day average sits above its 1000‑day; else long‑term downtrend. Then use 50‑ vs 200‑day to judge near‑term bull/bear. A “heat score” (RSI: 0–100 of recent gains vs losses; >60 hot, <30 washed‑out) fine‑tunes entries. In uptrends it rides stocks with 2x funds (SSO; ROM for tech) unless hot—then mixes SPY with Treasuries (TLT). In downtrends it mostly holds bonds (BND/BSV), staples (XLP), or shorts tech (QID).
Disciplined, trend-based strategy that outperforms the S&P 500 in out-of-sample runs: about 35% annualized vs 22%, with Calmar ~1.44. It leverages in uptrends and defends with bonds/defensives, delivering stronger long-term growth with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.87 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 567.49% | 10.58% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.61 | |
| 20,356.54% | 32.56% | 0.62% | -2.23% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,045,653.79Regulatory Fees
$4,897.47
Total Slippage
$30,323.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,tactical asset allocation,leveraged etfs,momentum,risk-on/risk-off,stocks,bonds,inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks