2x Leveraged | Dereck's Secular Market Framework
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, regime strategy: use long-term trends to go aggressive with 2x S&P/Tech in bull phases, and rotate to bonds/defensives—or even a 2x inverse tech hedge—in bears, with simple overbought/oversold checks to dial risk.
Step 1: Decide the market’s long-term mode using moving averages (average price). If SPY’s 200‑day avg > its 1000‑day avg → secular bull; otherwise bear.
Step 2: In bulls, ride strength with ~2x S&P (SSO). If price weakens, buy oversold tech (ROM) only when QQQ’s 10‑day RSI (0–100 “heat” gauge) <30; else hold bonds (BND). If SPY looks hot (RSI>60), cool to 55% SPY + 45% TLT.
Step 3: In bears, favor bonds (BND/BSV) or staples (XLP). In deep downtrends, may short tech via QID or hide in TLT. 2x ETFs aim for about twice the daily move.
Out-of-sample edge: ~35.2% annualized return vs SPY ~21.9%, Calmar ~1.44. Regime-based leverage captures bull upside and shifts to bonds/defensives in bears, delivering higher upside with disciplined risk (drawdowns ~24.5% vs ~18.8%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.88 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 597.65% | 10.77% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.62 | |
| 21,295.36% | 32.64% | 8.21% | 4.9% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,139,535.85Regulatory Fees
$5,128.51
Total Slippage
$31,840.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-based, trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum/rsi, risk-on/risk-off, bonds, inverse/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks