241007 BASE KMLM SVIX BSC v2 TEC/SOX/HIB Baller v BIL *SSL
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, high‑octane ETF strategy that swings between leveraged tech/semis bulls and bears using “hot/cold” signals plus bond and volatility checks, and parks in T‑bills when conditions aren’t friendly.
Each day it checks the backdrop first: is volatility calm (SVIX, an inverse VIX fund, is firm) and is Tech not too hot vs KMLM (a trend‑following managed‑futures fund)? If not, it holds T‑bills (BIL).
If yes, bond/credit trends pick a bull or bear stance. Then a “hot/cold” meter (RSI) on TQQQ (3× Nasdaq) and recent 1–6 day moves drive tactics:
- Washed‑out → buy TECL/SOXL/HIBL (3× Tech/Semis/High‑Beta).
- Overheated or big pop → use UVXY/TECS/SOXS/HIBS (hedges) or step back to T‑bills.
Bond cues can add or cut long‑Treasury exposure.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ~1.10 vs ~0.92) and annualized gains (~46% vs ~16%). With lower drawdown (~17.8% vs ~18.8%) and negative beta, it offers stronger upside with hedged risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | -0.62 | 0.06 | -0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.76% | 11.75% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.72 | |
| 3,468.92% | 148.19% | 4.41% | 24.42% | 2.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$356,891.96Regulatory Fees
$1,360.75
Total Slippage
$8,848.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 20, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, leveraged tech/semis, volatility timing, trend and mean‑reversion, bond/credit filters, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 35 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks