[230708] Word Is Bond (Shared) | Volatility Check | 3x
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk stock timing strategy that uses bond-market clues and a volatility safety check to decide how much to hold in 3x S&P 500 and 3x Nasdaq-100 funds, otherwise parking money in short-term T-bills.
This strategy first asks: “Is the market too panicky?” using UVXY, a fear/volatility fund. If fear is too high, it moves everything to BIL, a cash-like T-bill fund.
If fear is normal, it splits attention between the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100. It then looks at how several Treasury bond funds are behaving versus those stock indexes. The more signals that look favorable, the more it buys UPRO and TQQQ, which are aggressive 3x versions of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100. Unfavorable signals go to BIL instead.
Volatility-filtered, bond-signal timing with 3x equity exposure offers diversification and trend riding. OOS: 18.13% vs SPY 20.08%, but with higher max drawdown (~50%) and lower risk-adjusted return—a risk-aware complement, not a SPY substitute.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 1.42 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632.44% | 14.82% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.92 | |
| 19,085.02% | 44.01% | 1.15% | 1.84% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,918,502.07Regulatory Fees
$3,113.60
Total Slippage
$24,106.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, volatility filter, bond-signal timing, s&p 500, nasdaq-100, treasury regime
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks