[230708] Word Is Bond (Shared) | Volatility Check | 3x
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, 3x “risk dial” that uses bond strength and a volatility tripwire to shift between cash-like T‑Bills and leveraged S&P 500/Nasdaq. More bond momentum = more stocks; a volatility spike = park in T‑Bills.
1) Panic check: if a volatility fund (UVXY) looks overheated over ~30 days, it moves 100% to T‑Bills (BIL).
2) If calm, it splits money 50/50 into S&P 500 and Nasdaq‑100 buckets.
3) In each bucket, 8–9 quick tests compare how “hot” Treasury funds are vs the stock index over ~30 days. Each “yes” puts an equal slice into a 3x stock fund (UPRO or TQQQ); each “no” stays in T‑Bills.
When “on,” you hold broad market and tech‑heavy exposure; when “off,” you sit in cash‑like T‑Bills.
A rules-based, volatility-tuned 3x strategy that shifts to cash in stress. In OOS, it’s ~18.7% annualized vs SPY’s ~21.2%, with higher drawdowns—but it adds disciplined risk controls and diversification beyond a pure SPY core.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 1.43 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 550.18% | 14.69% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.9 | |
| 16,864.29% | 45.64% | 1.03% | 16.41% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,696,429.10Regulatory Fees
$3,146.78
Total Slippage
$19,317.76
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, s&p 500, nasdaq-100, treasuries, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks