[21D RSI IYT] Mostly SJDH | Gobi
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Uses transports vs S&P to flip Risk‑On/Risk‑Off. Risk‑On rides tech/semis (often via TQQQ/TECL/SOXL) while trends persist; overheated markets hedge with volatility or cash. Risk‑Off shifts to T‑Bills, Treasuries, defensives, or inverse ETFs. Rebalanced daily.
1) Master switch: if transportation stocks (IYT) show stronger 21‑day momentum (RSI) than the S&P 500 (SPY), it’s Risk‑On; otherwise Risk‑Off.
2) Risk‑On: ride tech/semis (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL) when uptrends hold (20–200d MAs). If moves get too hot (RSI ≈80+), briefly hedge with volatility (UVXY/VIXY) or go to cash. Cross‑check tech vs KMLM (managed‑futures); if KMLM leads, use inverse hedges (PSQ/QID/TBT/TBF).
3) Risk‑Off: dial down to T‑Bills (BIL/SHV), Treasuries (TLT), utilities/gold, or inverse ETFs (PSQ/SQQQ/SH). Buys some dips near RSI ≈30. Rebalanced daily.
An out-of-sample regime-switching strategy: transports signal Risk-On; ride tech/semis in uptrends, hedge heat with volatility or cash. Risk-Off shifts to bonds/cash. Aimed at higher risk-adjusted returns with lower drawdowns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | 0.78 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.18% | 13.53% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 17,788.16% | 171.63% | -2.84% | -0.79% | 3.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,788,815.81Regulatory Fees
$5,388.46
Total Slippage
$34,664.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 28, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, momentum, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, tech/semis focus, managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 79 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ABBV
ABBVIE INC.
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks