A transportation-focused risk-on/off ETF rotation that uses momentum, trend, and volatility signals across broad-market, leverage, volatility hedge, and bond ETFs to decide daily exposure. It includes multiple sub-strategies and safety checks to ride strength and hedge risk.

This is a risk-on/risk-off ETF rotation system centered on transportation signals and broad-market momentum. It watches a mix of ETFs (for example IYT for transportation, SPY/QQQ for the market, and TQQQ/TECL for leveraged bets) plus volatility hedges (UVXY, VIXY) and bonds (TLT, BIL). If momentum signals look strong in the transportation tilt or related tech/leveraged ETFs, the system favors higher-risk, higher-reward positions. If volatility is rising or bonds start to outperform, it leans more toward hedges or safer steps (cash or bond proxies). The decision logic is built from several modules that run rules like: is the 10-day RSI of a pair above a threshold and is the price above a moving-average cross? Should we fire a leveraged-long exposure, or switch to a hedge? Is bond exposure stronger than stock exposure? There are multiple sub-strategies and filters (e.g., “Mean Rev,” “Bond Mid-term < Long-term,” “Normal market,” “Four Corners,” etc.) that together drive where capital is allocated. In practice you won’t need to know the exact node-by-node logic; think of it as a collection of momentum, trend, and volatility rules that decide which ETFs to own each day and when to hedge or reduce risk. The system is designed to diversify risk across transportation signals, broad market momentum, volatility hedges, and bond exposure, with safeguards to avoid large drawdowns during sharp volatility bursts. The base case uses daily-ish updates in some variants, and the historical notes show ongoing tweaks like replacing FNGA with TQQQ or incorporating KMLM as a technology tilt in a subset.

Based on out-of-sample stats, this transportation-focused ETF-rotation delivers better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500 by riding momentum, hedging volatility, and adapting daily to protect capital and capture upside.