20d BND vs 60d SH
Today’s Change (Nov 1, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A concentrated market-timing strategy that goes all-in on tech when conditions look favorable or washed out, and otherwise shifts to defensive staples or cash-like Treasuries.
This strategy is an all-in switch between 3 choices: tech stocks (XLK), defensive consumer staples stocks (XLP), or very short-term Treasuries/cash-like bonds (SHV).
It first checks whether the bond market looks stronger than a stock-market hedge. If yes, it prefers taking stock risk. In that case, if the broad U.S. market is in a healthy long-term uptrend, it buys tech. If not, it still buys tech when the Nasdaq looks heavily sold off; otherwise it hides in consumer staples.
If bonds do not look stronger, it becomes more cautious: it buys tech only after a sharp Nasdaq selloff; otherwise it parks in short-term Treasuries.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher growth with controlled risk: 23.64% annualized vs 19.45% for the S&P, drawdown near SPY's (18.36% vs 18.76%), Calmar ~1.29. Tech tilt with defensive pivots aims to beat the market.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.63 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615.78% | 10.65% | -0.91% | 2.15% | 0.61 | |
| 7,345.99% | 24.8% | -4.75% | -0.61% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$744,599.26Regulatory Fees
$1,439.56
Total Slippage
$12,213.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, sector rotation, market timing, momentum, trend following, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks