20d BND vs 60d SH
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Switches between Technology (XLK), Consumer Staples (XLP), or cash‑like Treasuries (SHV) using a bond‑vs‑inverse‑stock strength test, a 200‑day trend filter on SPY, and an “oversold” check on QQQ to buy tech dips.
1) Compare recent strength scores (RSI: a 0–100 gauge of recent ups vs downs) of bonds (BND, 20 days) vs an inverse S&P 500 fund (SH, 60 days).
2) If bonds look stronger: if SPY is above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend), own Technology (XLK). If not, buy XLK only if QQQ looks oversold (RSI10<30); otherwise own Consumer Staples (XLP).
3) If bonds aren’t stronger: buy XLK only on that same oversold signal; otherwise hold short‑term Treasuries (SHV, cash‑like).
Out-of-sample edge: 23.29% annualized return vs SPY's 22.07%, with drawdown ~18.37% (vs 18.76%) and Calmar ~1.27. Regime-driven tilt to XLK when favorable, with defensives when not—more upside, similar risk to the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.61 | 0.49 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540.33% | 10.38% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.6 | |
| 5,847.8% | 24.28% | 3.35% | -5.57% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$594,779.92Regulatory Fees
$1,435.80
Total Slippage
$9,394.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, sector rotation, momentum, trend following, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks