20d BND vs 20d SPHB
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily switches between a 3x semiconductor fund (SOXL) and cash‑like Treasuries (SHV) using a bonds‑vs‑high‑beta risk gauge plus quick “heat” and fear checks (SOXX, UVXY). Aim: be aggressive only after dips or capitulation; otherwise stay safe.
Rebalances daily. It first compares a 20-day heat meter (RSI, 0–100; high=hot, low=cold) for bonds (BND) vs high‑beta stocks (SPHB) to judge risk. If bonds look stronger, it often buys a 3x semiconductor fund (SOXL) unless semis are too hot (SOXX RSI>80) or fear spikes (UVXY high); then it holds cash‑like Treasuries (SHV). If stocks look stronger, it buys SOXL only when very oversold (RSI<30); else SHV.
Out-of-sample edge: ~42% annualized return with ~0.83 Sharpe vs the S&P. Dynamic switch between leveraged semis and Treasuries targets rebounds and hedges risk—higher upside but sizable drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 2.38 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616.19% | 14.71% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 2,382,370.89% | 101.89% | 2.91% | -0.81% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$238,247,088.69Regulatory Fees
$339,653.49
Total Slippage
$2,427,067.67
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, rsi momentum, volatility filter, leveraged etf, semiconductors, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total