A cautious, daily-traded strategy that mostly waits in short-term Treasuries and only jumps into a high-risk semiconductor fund when chip stocks look unusually beaten down or panic looks extreme.

This strategy checks the market every day and usually chooses between two places: • **SOXL**: a very aggressive fund that amplifies moves in semiconductor stocks (chip companies) • **SHV**: a very safe short-term Treasury fund, used like a cash parking spot It first compares **bonds (BND)** with **aggressive stocks (SPHB)** to judge whether the market looks cautious or risk-friendly. Then it looks at recent price heat using **RSI**, which is like a 0–100 “temperature gauge” of how strong or stretched a price move has been. In plain English: it only buys the aggressive chip fund when prices look beaten down enough—or when panic is so extreme that it expects a rebound. Otherwise, it stays in the safer Treasury fund.

Out-of-sample, this strategy offers better risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P: Sharpe ~1.01, alpha ~0.23%, and ~64.7% annualized return with Calmar ~0.86. Mostly cash, selectively levered into semis on dips. Note: extreme drawdowns can reach ~75%.