2024 TQQQ or Not - Non-Degen Gambler Variant
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-moving market-timing strategy that usually bets aggressively on the Nasdaq, but shifts into cash, bonds, volatility funds, or bearish positions when markets look overheated or risky.
This strategy checks the market every day and asks: is tech rising in a healthy way, falling hard, or acting dangerously wild?
If conditions look favorable, it buys TQQQ, a very aggressive fund that tries to deliver about 3x the daily move of the Nasdaq-100.
If the market looks overheated or unstable, it moves to safer holdings like BIL (short-term Treasury bills), bonds, volatility funds, or even a fund that rises when the Nasdaq falls.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher growth: ~22.5% annualized vs the S&P 500’s ~17.5%, with Calmar around 0.70. It aims for big upside in tech-led markets while using hedges; be prepared for larger drawdowns (~32% vs ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | 0.98 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.19% | 15.05% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.93 | |
| 5,788,369.58% | 107.97% | -14.18% | -16.75% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$578,846,957.64Regulatory Fees
$1,972,634.23
Total Slippage
$18,973,399.96
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, nasdaq, mean reversion, trend following, risk-managed, long-short, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks