2024 TQQQ or Not - Non-Degen Gambler Variant
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule‑based swing between 3x tech (TQQQ), cash/bonds, and tactical hedges (SQQQ/UVXY) using simple signals (trend, overbought/oversold, drawdowns). Seeks big upside with quick risk‑offs to cut damage.
Daily, two‑part strategy sized by recent volatility (calmer part gets more). It rides tech upside but bails fast.
Tickers: TQQQ=3x Nasdaq; QQQ=Nasdaq; BIL=T‑bills; SPY=S&P 500; BND/TLT=Treasuries; SQQQ=3x short Nasdaq; UVXY/VIXY=vol funds; SOXL=3x semis.
Signals: RSI (0–100 hot/cold), 25‑day moving average (trend), 10‑day max drawdown, X‑day return.
Rules: Very hot or whipsaw → BIL/UVXY. Trend up or washed‑out → TQQQ (sometimes SOXL). Risk flags → BIL/bonds or SQQQ. Else the strongest of TLT/VIXY/VTI/XLP.
Out-of-sample: ~31% annualized return vs ~19.7% for the S&P, aided by dynamic hedging (cash/bonds/vol). Calmar ~0.97 shows strong risk-adjusted upside; leveraged tech exposure with built-in risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | 0.98 | 0.13 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619.59% | 14.79% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.91 | |
| 5,796,889.01% | 115.26% | 4.53% | -5.07% | 1.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$579,698,901.07Regulatory Fees
$1,781,456.02
Total Slippage
$12,781,338.67
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend and mean‑reversion, risk management, volatility hedging, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks