200d MA SPY - Wooden ARK/Short Spy (168/28) Since 2022 40 STD
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based “offense/defense” system. When trends are strong it leans into fast tech/semis; when weak it shifts to cash/Treasuries, diversifiers (BTAL/KMLM‑style), or shorts/volatility. Uses RSI/short‑term momentum and bond signals to time moves.
First it checks the S&P 500’s long‑term trend. If up (risk‑on), it rides fast tech/semis funds (e.g., 3x Nasdaq/Tech/Semis) and buys dips, trimming when rallies look “too hot.” If down (risk‑off), it moves to T‑bills/Treasuries, diversifiers (BTAL/KMLM‑style), or shorts and volatility (e.g., UVXY/SQQQ/TMV). RSI is a short‑term “heat meter”; moving averages are trend lines. Bond trends steer long vs short Treasuries. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this rules-based strategy targets big upside (~67% annualized vs S&P ~27%) with solid risk-adjusted performance (Calmar ~2.42). It hedges in risk-off periods for diversification, though drawdowns can be larger in stressed markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.1 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.29% | 16.38% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.98 | |
| 1,461.32% | 108.58% | 15.02% | 11.11% | 1.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$156,132.38Regulatory Fees
$912.51
Total Slippage
$5,588.96
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, hedging, volatility, managed futures, bonds/rates
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 142 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AIA
iShares Asia 50 ETF
Stocks
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Stocks
ARKG
ARK Genomic Revolution ETF
Stocks
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
Stocks
ARKQ
ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF
Stocks
ARKW
ARK Next Generation Internet ETF
Stocks
ARKX
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF
Stocks
BGX
Blackstone Long-Short Credit Income Fund
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks