200d MA SPY - Wooden ARK/Short Spy (168/28) Since 2022 40 STD
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced multi-ETF tactical portfolio combining momentum/trend signals plus hedges, using a 200-day SPY gate to switch between growth/momentum and risk-off modes. It blends leveraged bets (e.g., SOXL, TECL, UPRO, UVXY) with defensive plays (TMF/TMV, GLD, TLT, SHY) across globals, aiming for growth with risk controls rather than a simple buy-and-hold approach.
- It runs a daily check to decide if the market posture should be growth/momentum or defensive risk-off, largely driven by a 200-day moving average gate on SPY. If SPY is above its 200-day average, the plan leans toward the “Wooden ARK/Long Spy” sleeve, otherwise it shifts toward risk-off or hedged positions.
- Within each sleeve, capital is allocated to multiple groups (e.g., Wooden ARK/Tech momentum, diversified momentum baskets, defense/Modified, Plaid Inner/Outer Baller, and specialized themes like KMLM comparisons or ARK-like plays).
- Inside each group, the system screens a wide list of ETFs (popular tickers like SPY, QQQ, XLK, EEM, EFA, GLD, TLT, UUP and many leveraged vehicles like SOXL, TECL, UPRO, UVXY, SQQQ, TMF, TMV, etc.). It ranks candidates using criteria such as top/bottom moving-average returns, RSI (momentum), exponential moving averages, or price vs moving averages. It then picks a small number (often the top or bottom 1) to buy or short, and it weights positions to ensure cash in the group adds up to 100% of that group’s allocation.
- The strategy uses both long (bullish) and short (bearish/hedge) bets. Leveraged ETFs are used for amplified exposure in sectors like technology and semiconductors, as well as for hedging through inverse/short vehicles when signals flip.
- Risk management layers include volatility hedges (UVXY, VIXY), bond and treasury positions (TMF, TMV, TLT, SHY, BIL), gold (GLD) and other defensive assets to temper drawdowns, and checks on RSI and moving-average relationships to avoid overextended markets.
- Rebalancing happens daily, re-evaluating signals, adjusting weights, and replacing positions as screens change.
- The overall aim is to capture upside in favorable environments (growth/tech momentum, global equity strength) while leaning on hedges and less volatile assets when volatility or risk signals spike.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~67% vs SPY ~27%; Calmar ~2.42 signals strong risk-adjusted gains. A daily growth/defense tilting strategy with hedges seeks to outperform the S&P 500 across regimes while managing downside risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72.15% | 15.5% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.94 | |
| 1,299.29% | 101.36% | -10.41% | -0.34% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$139,929.15Regulatory Fees
$937.11
Total Slippage
$5,741.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, leveraged etfs, tactical asset allocation, long/short, volatility hedging, global exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 142 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AIA
iShares Asia 50 ETF
Stocks
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Stocks
ARKG
ARK Genomic Revolution ETF
Stocks
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
Stocks
ARKQ
ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF
Stocks
ARKW
ARK Next Generation Internet ETF
Stocks
ARKX
ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF
Stocks
BGX
Blackstone Long-Short Credit Income Fund
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks