200d MA 3x Leverage | with fund surfing and Black swan catcher 10/04/11
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, risk-on/risk-off strategy using a 200-day trend and short-term “hot/cold” signals. Buys 3x S&P/Nasdaq/semis on dips, times Treasuries, hedges with VIX, and parks in T-Bills when choppy—aiming to catch crashes and rebounds.
Each day it checks fear using a VIX fund’s hot/cold score (RSI, 0–100). If fear is extreme: run “pop bots”—buy 3x S&P/Nasdaq/semis on dips, hedge with VIX when too hot, else sit in T-Bills.
If fear is normal: if 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) is above its 200-day trend, hold it unless too hot (then hedge). If below trend, buy tech on deep dips, or—when calm—rotate into the coldest fund and time long bonds; when choppy, park in T-Bills. A small sleeve flips between short bonds and inverse Nasdaq.
High-upside, risk-managed strategy. Out-of-sample annualized return ~72% vs SPY ~21%, Calmar ~1.59. Expect bigger drawdowns (~45% vs ~19%), but alpha and hedged, trend-driven upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 1.7 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 798.42% | 15.79% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.96 | |
| 7,885,248.02% | 112.31% | 16.11% | 22.92% | 1.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$788,534,801.88Regulatory Fees
$821,214.31
Total Slippage
$7,887,824.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, market timing, bonds timing