200d MA 3x Leverage | with fund surfing and Black swan catcher 10/04/11
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Daily trend-following using 3x levered ETFs (SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL) across SPY/QQQ/SMH, with a cash hedge (BIL) and volatility hedges (VIXY/UVXY). Uses 10-day RSI and 200-day MA to buy/hedge/sit in cash; includes a secondary 'fund surfing' screen of core ETFs to pick the best exposures. High risk, high potential reward.
- The strategy blends three 3x levered bets (SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL/TECL) across top themes (SPY, QQQ, SMH) and a cash/hedge sleeve (BIL, VIXY/UVXY).
- Daily, it checks momentum and trend signals to decide: go long on levered bets, switch to hedges, or sit in cash.
- Momentum is measured with a 10-day RSI; if momentum looks extreme, hedges or cash are favored; if momentum supports, the levered bet is allocated.
- A 200-day moving average filter guards against taking levered bets in a downtrend.
- A secondary screen (fund surfing) scans core ETFs to pick optimal exposures, adding a layer of diversification and protection.
- The Black Swan catcher (BIL) provides priority cash-like protection during stressed periods; VIX-related ETFs add short-term volatility hedges when fear spikes.
- Rebalancing is daily to adapt to the latest signals and regime shifts.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.35 vs SPY ~1.33, Calmar ~1.73, and strong upside. 3x levered trend-following bets with cash and volatility hedges aim to outperform the S&P 500 with disciplined risk controls.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum-based, risk hedging, multi-asset, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks