200d MA 3x Leverage | with fund surfing and Black swan catcher 10/04/11
Today’s Change (Feb 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switch that uses a 200‑day trend and an RSI “heat” gauge to rotate among 3× equity funds, volatility hedges, Treasuries, and T‑Bills—aiming to ride uptrends, buy sharp dips, and quickly de‑risk in volatility spikes.
Daily, it uses RSI (a 0–100 “heat” gauge) and the 200‑day average (trend). If volatility is hot (VIXM RSI>70), it shifts to “safe” bots that mostly sit in T‑Bills (BIL), only buying oversold 3× stock funds or a volatility hedge (VIXY). Otherwise: if a 3× Nasdaq fund (TQQQ) is above its 200‑day, hold it unless overheated (then UVXY). If below, either buy oversold Tech (TECL) or, when calm, rotate into the most beaten‑down index and a trend‑driven Treasuries sleeve (TMF long/TMV short); if not calm, park in BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~78% annualized return vs ~21% for the S&P, with Sharpe ~1.35 and Calmar ~1.73. Strong upside and risk controls; note larger drawdowns (~45%) in volatility spikes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | 1.65 | 0.28 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692.18% | 15.56% | -0.17% | 3.34% | 0.94 | |
| 5,453,376.95% | 114.25% | -8.03% | -5.68% | 1.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$545,347,694.55Regulatory Fees
$620,485.57
Total Slippage
$4,442,811.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, risk-on/risk-off, tactical rotation, treasuries, us equities, technology, semiconductors
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks