2007 @ 2.35 Sharpe
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, risk-on/risk-off ETF strategy. 70% tactically trades the Nasdaq/S&P with overbought/oversold and trend rules; 30% rotates between Emerging Markets and long Treasuries. Seeks strong returns with gentler swings.
70% Core: If stocks look extremely hot (RSI = a 0–100 “heat” gauge), hold half T‑bills (SHV) + half a mild Nasdaq short (PSQ). If not, sometimes tilt to gold (GLD). Buy the Nasdaq on sharp dips (QQQ, or 2x QLD when very washed‑out). In uptrends, hold a low‑vol basket (AAPL, LLY, NVO, COST, COKE). In downtrends, rotate among cash, short‑Nasdaq (PSQ/QID), or a quick long (QLD) using bond‑vs‑stock strength.
30% Alts: Switch between Emerging Markets up (EEM) or down (EUM) based on bond strength and trend. Own long Treasuries (TLT) on momentum or when oversold; otherwise T‑bills (SHV).
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.85 vs S&P ~1.03; annualized return ~32% vs ~18%; max drawdown ~7.5% vs ~18.8%; Calmar ~4.28. Diversified risk-on/risk-off strategy aiming higher upside with smoother, lower drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533.36% | 10.61% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.61 | |
| 179,150.78% | 50.57% | 1.67% | 3.36% | 2.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,925,078.44Regulatory Fees
$54,764.19
Total Slippage
$368,232.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, etf rotation, trend following, mean reversion, long/short, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks