200 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A simple daily trend rule: if the S&P 500 is in an uptrend, hold growth (TQQQ), small‑value (AVUV), gold (GLD) and leveraged long bonds (TMF). If not, switch to gold and long Treasuries (TLT) to cut stock risk.
Each day, it checks if the S&P 500 fund (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (average price over ~10 months). If yes: hold 10% AVUV (U.S. small cheap stocks), 23.34% TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100), 33.33% TMF (3× long U.S. Treasuries), 33.33% GLD (gold). If no: 50% GLD, 50% TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~55% vs S&P ~36%, with strong risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~6.8) and a diversified, regime-based mix that captures uptrends (levered tech, value, gold) and hedges downturns with bonds. Leverage can raise drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.57% | 15.45% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 116.88% | 12.81% | 4.76% | 6.27% | 0.68 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,687.91Regulatory Fees
$41.04
Total Slippage
$97.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, multi-asset, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, gold, long treasuries, small-cap value, nasdaq-100
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks