200 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
A simple trend switch: when SPY is above its 200‑day average, hold a mix of tech (TQQQ), small‑cap value (AVUV), gold (GLD) and long Treasuries (TMF). Otherwise move to 50/50 gold and long Treasuries (TLT). Uses leverage; expect big ups and downs.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 fund (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (a long‑term trend line). If yes: 10% AVUV (U.S. small‑cap value stocks), 23.34% TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100 tech), 33.33% TMF (3× long U.S. Treasuries), 33.33% GLD (gold). If not: 50% GLD and 50% TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). Rebalanced daily. Leveraged funds can swing sharply.
Out-of-sample: 55.36% annualized return vs SPY 36.21%, Calmar 6.82, Sharpe ~2.68, beta ~0.82. A trend-following, diversified mix (tech, small-cap value, gold, Treasuries) designed for higher upside with lower correlation to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.36 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162.94% | 15.93% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.83 | |
| 112.39% | 12.21% | 1.05% | 3.35% | 0.65 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,239.31Regulatory Fees
$42.43
Total Slippage
$103.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, gold, treasuries, tech-heavy exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total