200 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
A simple trend switch: when SPY is above its 200‑day average, hold a mix of tech (TQQQ), small‑cap value (AVUV), gold (GLD) and long Treasuries (TMF). Otherwise move to 50/50 gold and long Treasuries (TLT). Uses leverage; expect big ups and downs.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 fund (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (a long‑term trend line). If yes: 10% AVUV (U.S. small‑cap value stocks), 23.34% TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100 tech), 33.33% TMF (3× long U.S. Treasuries), 33.33% GLD (gold). If not: 50% GLD and 50% TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). Rebalanced daily. Leveraged funds can swing sharply.
Out-of-sample return 34.10% vs SPY 30.90%; Calmar 2.33. Trend-following with hedges (gold, Treasuries) aims for higher upside with controlled risk—though drawdowns can be larger in volatile regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.38 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177.2% | 16.41% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.86 | |
| 121.09% | 12.55% | 4.56% | 8.27% | 0.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,108.95Regulatory Fees
$57.81
Total Slippage
$104.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, gold, treasuries, tech-heavy exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total