200 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Jul 19, 2026)
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About
A simple trend switch: when SPY is above its 200‑day average, hold a mix of tech (TQQQ), small‑cap value (AVUV), gold (GLD) and long Treasuries (TMF). Otherwise move to 50/50 gold and long Treasuries (TLT). Uses leverage; expect big ups and downs.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 fund (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (a long‑term trend line). If yes: 10% AVUV (U.S. small‑cap value stocks), 23.34% TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100 tech), 33.33% TMF (3× long U.S. Treasuries), 33.33% GLD (gold). If not: 50% GLD and 50% TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). Rebalanced daily. Leveraged funds can swing sharply.
An adaptive trend strategy toggling between risk-on (tech, AVUV, GLD, TMF) and risk-off (GLD, TLT) to balance upside with diversification. Out-of-sample: ~23% annualized return, 14.6% max drawdown, Calmar 1.57, Sharpe 1.09—a hedge vs. SPY's regime.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 0.38 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175.92% | 16.13% | 0.57% | 4.94% | 0.85 | |
| 103.68% | 11.05% | -5.99% | -4.01% | 0.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,367.60Regulatory Fees
$58.39
Total Slippage
$105.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, gold, treasuries, tech-heavy exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total