200 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Feb 14, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily trend-following, risk-on/risk-off mix. If SPY is above its 200‑day average, hold small‑cap value, 3x tech, 3x long Treasuries, and gold. Otherwise, shift to gold and long Treasuries. Uses leveraged funds; expect larger swings.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day moving average (the average price over ~9 months).
If above: 10% AVUV, 23.34% TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), 33.33% TMF (3x long Treasuries), 33.33% GLD (gold).
If not: 50% GLD, 50% TLT (long Treasuries). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample return ~55% vs SPY ~36%; Calmar 6.82, Sharpe 2.68, alpha 0.20, beta 0.82. A diversified trend-following mix (gold, Treasuries, AVUV, leveraged Nasdaq) aims for higher, steadier upside and stronger risk-adjusted growth than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.74% | 15.6% | -1.73% | 1.75% | 0.82 | |
| 117.08% | 12.94% | 3.32% | 7.82% | 0.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,707.54Regulatory Fees
$40.78
Total Slippage
$96.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, gold, long treasuries, small-cap value, nasdaq-100
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks