1D Cumulative Returns Mean Reversion Base
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical semiconductor strategy: buy big dips, fade big pops, and otherwise scale between SMH and 3x bull/bear ETFs using overbought/oversold signals. Falls back to a simple trend filter and adds a small volatility/dollar hedge in severe selloffs.
1) Look at today’s % move in SMH (semi ETF). Big drop? Buy SOXL (3x bull), sometimes with a 30% hedge (VIX/dollar/short‑Treasuries). Big surge? Buy SOXS (3x bear), sometimes with 30% SHY.
2) If not extreme, scale between SMH and SOXL/SOXS using RSI (oversold/overbought).
3) If neither, use trend: above 200‑day = SMH; below both 200‑ and 20‑day = pick SOXS or SHY.
Out-of-sample annualized return: 43.4% vs S&P 20.6%, beta ~0.94, and Calmar ~0.83—strong upside with controlled market exposure. Uses hedges and trend rules to manage risk, but max drawdown can be large (~52%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 491.5% | 14.21% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.87 | |
| 210,431.79% | 77.19% | 14.69% | 3.27% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,053,178.76Regulatory Fees
$120,709.92
Total Slippage
$835,640.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 18, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, rsi-based scaling, volatility hedge, tactical trading, momentum fallback
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks