15d AGG vs 15d QQQ Replace TQQQ & BTAL w/ SPYU & FTLS | Basic Signals Wash Sale? WM74
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About
A market-timing strategy that uses stock-market trend checks plus a bond-vs-tech strength signal to switch between a very aggressive S&P 500 fund (SPYU) and a more defensive stock fund (FTLS).
This strategy checks the overall U.S. stock market first using SPY, a fund that tracks the S&P 500.
If the market trend looks acceptable, it compares recent strength in AGG (a broad U.S. bond fund) with QQQ (a tech-heavy stock fund). If bonds have been stronger lately, it buys SPYU, an extremely aggressive fund that magnifies S&P 500 moves. Otherwise it holds FTLS, a more defensive long/short stock fund. If the market looks weak, it also falls back to FTLS.
Diversified tactical sleeve to complement the S&P 500. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.57 and Calmar ~0.33, with trend-momentum signals; offers diversification and risk control, but may incur larger drawdowns in severe markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 1.6 | 0.49 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.14% | 21.04% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 1.32 | |
| 156.87% | 38.37% | -5.34% | -2.42% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,686.98Regulatory Fees
$55.65
Total Slippage
$394.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, momentum, leveraged equity, defensive equity, us stocks, bonds