15d AGG vs 15d QQQ Replace TQQQ & BTAL w/ SPYU & FTLS | Basic Signals Wash Sale? WM74
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based switch: if the market trends up, buy a leveraged S&P 500 fund (SPYU) when bonds’ 15‑day momentum beats tech’s; otherwise hold a hedged long/short equity ETF (FTLS). If the market trends down, hold FTLS. Allocates ~70%.
Each day it checks the US stock market trend using SPY (S&P 500): if price is above its 200‑day or 20‑day average, it’s “uptrend”; otherwise “downtrend.”
• Downtrend: hold FTLS (a hedged long/short stock fund).
• Uptrend: compare 15‑day RSI (a 0–100 recent‑strength score) of AGG (broad US bonds) vs QQQ (big tech). If AGG’s score > QQQ’s, buy SPYU (an S&P 500 fund that magnifies moves); otherwise hold FTLS. Uses ~70% of the account.
Out-of-sample: 24.6% annualized vs 17.96% for the S&P, with a tactical hedge and levered equity to capture more upside in trends. Higher growth potential, but expect more volatility and bigger drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 1.61 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.52% | 21.15% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 1.29 | |
| 129.03% | 44.91% | -0.35% | 2.86% | 1.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,903.30Regulatory Fees
$47.52
Total Slippage
$285.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum,trend filter,leveraged equity,long/short hedge,etfs,daily rebalance