14D RSI of QQQ < 35 -> buy TQQQ and TECL
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
RSI-based tactical: when QQQ’s 14-day RSI < 35, go long 3x Nasdaq/Tech ETFs (TQQQ and TECL) with equal weight. If RSI > 80, hedge with UVXY. Otherwise park in BIL (short-term Treasuries). No automatic rebalancing; levered ETFs imply high risk.
Plain-language explanation: The system watches QQQ (the Nasdaq-100) using a 14-day momentum gauge. If that gauge drops below 35, it signals an oversold short-term condition, and the plan is to place money into two 3x leveraged ETFs—TQQQ (Nasdaq-100 leveraged long) and TECL (Tech sector leveraged long)—likely with equal weight between them. If the momentum gauge becomes very high (above 80), the plan instead buys UVXY to hedge against a spike in market fear/volatility. If neither extreme is present, the system parks cash in BIL (short-term U.S. Treasuries) for safety. There is no automatic rebalancing; the strategy acts on signals and uses equal weights when entering the leveraged long positions. Important caveats: leveraged ETFs reset daily, so holding them longer than a few days can produce results different from the simple multiples of the index; UVXY tends to lose value in calm markets; RSI signals are not guarantees of future moves. The plan is designed as a short-horizon tactical approach rather than a traditional buy-and-hold strategy.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~30% vs S&P ~18%; Calmar ~1.31 vs ~0.95, signaling stronger risk-adjusted gains. Tech-focused tactical levered bets with hedges and safety buys seek bigger upside, accepting higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.46 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 11,854.39% | 39.35% | 0.27% | 9.87% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,195,438.80Regulatory Fees
$1,424.64
Total Slippage
$8,588.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum timing, tactical allocation, volatility hedge, short-term safety asset, qqq