123paturel 4 Defensive with BIL
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules-based switches using QQQ’s short-term “heat” (RSI) to rotate between cash-like T‑bills (BIL), leveraged Nasdaq (QLD), or a defensive mix of staples, utilities, health care, and long Treasuries (TLT).
Each day it checks a short-term “heat” score (RSI, 0–100 from recent up vs down days) of QQQ, the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100. If very hot (>79), it parks in BIL (1–3 mo T‑bills). If very cold (<30), it buys QLD (2× Nasdaq‑100). Otherwise it splits evenly among XLP (staples), XLU (utilities), XLV (health care), and TLT (long US Treasuries). Goal: defensive when frothy, aggressive after sell‑offs, steady in between.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.83 vs SPY 1.68; lower drawdown 3.6% vs 5.1%; Calmar ~4.05. A rules-based risk-on/risk-off strategy that protects capital in hot markets and captures rebounds, delivering stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.67 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 557.35% | 10.5% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.6 | |
| 4,585.51% | 22.63% | 2.94% | 8.95% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$468,550.62Regulatory Fees
$1,424.67
Total Slippage
$7,608.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 14, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,risk-on/risk-off,momentum trigger,defensive sectors,treasuries,t-bills,leveraged etf,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks