123paturel 4 Defensive with BIL
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A mostly defensive strategy that uses Nasdaq momentum as a signal: hide in T-bills when tech is overheated, buy leveraged Nasdaq after sharp drops, otherwise hold defensive sectors and Treasury bonds.
This strategy watches QQQ, a fund that tracks the Nasdaq-100 (big growth stocks like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Tesla). It uses a 10-day RSI, which simply measures whether prices have moved up or down unusually fast lately.
If QQQ looks very overheated, it moves everything to BIL, a very short-term U.S. Treasury fund that behaves like a cash parking spot.
If QQQ looks very beaten down, it buys QLD, a fund that aims to move about 2x the Nasdaq-100 each day.
Otherwise, it spreads money evenly across four more defensive areas: consumer staples, utilities, health care, and long-term Treasury bonds.
Out-of-sample edge: 33% annualized return vs 16% S&P; Sharpe 2.21 vs 1.29; Calmar 3.96; max drawdown 8.46% vs 8.89%; beta 0.32. Defensive core with RSI-triggered cash or Nasdaq leverage—more upside, less risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613.38% | 10.65% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.61 | |
| 5,706.56% | 23.28% | 16.69% | 12.08% | 1.15 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$580,656.19Regulatory Fees
$1,437.39
Total Slippage
$9,109.39
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 14, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive, tactical allocation, sector rotation, mean reversion, risk-off, leveraged nasdaq, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks