123paturel 4 Defensive
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, momentum-based defensive tilting system: hedge with VIXY when Nasdaq looks overheated, chase a tech rebound with QLD when deeply oversold, or else evenly mix four defensive ETFs (staples, long bonds, utilities, health care) for balance.
What happens each day:
- Start with a 100% cash-equivalent stance (ready to move into an ETF or group).
- Compute the Nasdaq-100 momentum using a 10-day RSI on QQQ (a short-term measure of recent price moves).
- If RSI(QQQ,10) > 79: move 100% into VIXY (the VIX futures ETF) to hedge against fear/volatility.
- Else if RSI(QQQ,10) < 30: move 100% into QLD (Ultra QQQ, 2x levered on QQQ) to try to ride a strong rebound in tech.
- Otherwise: spread exposure across four defensive ETFs equally: XLP (Consumer Staples), TLT (Long-Term Treasuries), XLU (Utilities), XLV (Health Care).
- Rebalance daily to reflect the current rule outcome. Notes for laymen: RSI is a momentum gauge; VIXY rises when fear or volatility spikes; QLD aims for amplified tech gains; the four defensives provide stability when markets are neutral or mildly risky.
Out-of-sample edge vs the S&P 500: Sharpe ~1.91, lower drawdowns (~3.6% vs ~5.1%), Calmar ~4.43, and ~16% annualized return. Uses VIXY hedges and QLD tech rebound with a diversified defensive sleeve, rebalanced daily.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.2 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590.61% | 13.59% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 10,746.36% | 36.21% | -2.42% | 7.45% | 1.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,084,636.28Regulatory Fees
$2,025.45
Total Slippage
$12,373.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 25, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive strategy, rsi-based tilts, etf-based hedging and sector/bond mix, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks