10Y+ BT - TQQQ FTLT & BB-TCCC with only (T)QQQ + PSQ | BT 11-11-30 |
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical, all‑in/all‑out Nasdaq‑100 timer. It buys QQQ/TQQQ in healthy trends and flips to PSQ/SQQQ when markets look hot, weak, or volatility spikes—using bond trends, semis momentum, dollar strength, and commodity volatility as cross‑checks.
What it trades: QQQ (Nasdaq‑100), TQQQ (3× QQQ), PSQ/SQQQ (short QQQ). It also watches SPY (S&P 500), TLT (US Treasuries), SOXL (semis), UVXY (volatility), DBC (commodities), UUP (US$), BIL/IEF (bonds).
Step 1: Read trends: if bonds (TLT) are rising vs their 200‑day average and stocks look healthy, it’s risk‑on; otherwise risk‑off.
Step 2: Heat check: RSI (a 0–100 “hot/cold” score) and volatility (UVXY). Overbought → hedge/short; oversold → buy the dip (if bonds agree).
Step 3: Confirm with semis, dollar, and commodities.
Then go 100% into one ETF: QQQ/TQQQ in healthy trends; PSQ/SQQQ when weak or too “hot.” It fades big 1‑day spikes and buys deep weekly dips. Trades only when signals change.
Tap Nasdaq upside with a regime-switching, trend-following strategy that goes long QQQ/TQQQ in bullish regimes and hedges with PSQ/SQQQ when risk spikes. Out-of-sample: ~71.7% annualized vs ~25.2% for SPY; Calmar 1.93; Sharpe ~1.22.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, leveraged nasdaq timing, regime switching, trend + mean reversion, volatility overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks