10Y+ BT - TQQQ FTLT & BB-TCCC with only (T)QQQ + PSQ | BT 11-11-30 |
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based Nasdaq strategy: ride uptrends with QQQ/TQQQ; flip to hedges (PSQ/SQQQ) or volatility (UVXY) when markets look overheated, fearful, or trend weak. Bond and commodity signals set the risk regime to avoid major drawdowns.
Goal: ride Nasdaq rallies, cut big drops.
- Core: hold QQQ or 3x QQQ (TQQQ).
- Uses RSI as a “hot/cold” gauge (high=overheated, low=washed‑out): overheated → hedge/short (PSQ=short QQQ, SQQQ=3x short; UVXY=fear hedge). Oversold → buy the dip if bonds/risk signals agree.
- Bond trend (TLT 200‑day), stock trend (SPY), and commodity/volatility cues set risk‑on/off. Big one‑day pops/drops also trigger flips.
Out-of-sample return: ~71.7%/yr vs S&P ~25%; solid risk-adjusted (Calmar ~1.93) despite larger drawdowns (~37% vs ~19%). Regime-based hedges ride Nasdaq rallies and cut losses in fear, offering much higher upside with managed risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf, nasdaq/tech focus, leveraged etfs, trend + mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks