10d IEF vs 20d PSQ
Today’s Change (Apr 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, it rotates among cash-like T‑bills (SHV), tech stocks (XLK), or a short Nasdaq bet (PSQ). It de‑risks on overheated markets, buys tech on dips or when bonds beat the “short Nasdaq,” and shorts Nasdaq only in weak regimes.
Checked daily, it picks one ETF: SHV (cash-like T‑bills), XLK (tech), or PSQ (short Nasdaq). Rules: If QQQ or SPY is “overheated” (10‑day RSI >80) → SHV. If QQQ is “washed‑out” (10‑day RSI <30) → XLK. Else if bonds (IEF, 10‑day RSI) beat the short-Nasdaq (PSQ, 20‑day RSI) → XLK. Else if SPY > 200‑day avg → SHV. Else if QQQ < 20‑day avg → PSQ. Otherwise SHV.
Out-of-sample edge: ~37% annualized vs 22% for the S&P, higher Sharpe (1.54 vs 1.31), lower drawdown (14.9% vs 18.8%), and beta ~0.92 with Calmar ~2.50. A cash-first, tech-timing strategy delivering bigger gains with tighter risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.54 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 561.4% | 10.34% | -2.54% | -4.14% | 0.6 | |
| 15,804.1% | 30.21% | 3.71% | 3.57% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,590,409.75Regulatory Fees
$4,382.02
Total Slippage
$29,078.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum and mean-reversion, risk-off bias, sector rotation, long/short, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total