101224 - SR fromBL
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rule-based, multi-regime equity strategy using momentum and risk checks to pick NVDA or a small mega-cap quartet, with occasional TQQQ/BITO exposure, inverse-vol weighting for risk control, and BIL as cash when signals deteriorate; no fixed calendar rebalancing.
- The plan is built like a flowchart: start with a cash-like safe setup and then check a series of conditions before selecting which securities to hold.
- It looks at past price performance over different time windows (for example 60 days, 20 days, 10 days) to judge if prices are generally rising (momentum).
- It compares how different assets have performed (for example NVDA versus bond proxies like BND or cash proxies like BIL) to decide if the market environment favors equities or cash.
- It uses a small group of “must-haves” (NVDA; or META, AMZN, LLY, MRK as a bundled option) and sometimes adds aggressive exposure using TQQQ (a leveraged Nasdaq ETF) or BITO (a crypto ETF) if momentum looks very strong.
- There is a risk-check layer: things like how much SPY’s price has drawn down in a window; moving-average tests; and a volatility-based weighting for the four big stocks to avoid concentrated risk.
- When the signals brighten (strong momentum, acceptable risk), it places money in the chosen equities; when signals darken (risk spikes or drawdowns), it shifts toward BIL to protect capital.
- Exposures aren’t rebalanced on a fixed calendar. The system uses a narrow rebalancing corridor to keep adjustments modest and avoid whipsaws.
- The set of tickers is a mix of big tech and big pharma stocks (NVDA, META, AMZN, LLY, MRK) plus broader market proxies (SPY, QQQ) and occasional high-octane plays (TQQQ, BITO), with BIL as the cash anchor and BND as a bond proxy in some checks.
In short: a structured, rules-based approach that tries to ride momentum in high-conviction stocks while keeping capital safe by stepping into cash-like assets when risk signals are unfavorable. It uses multiple lookbacks, moving averages, and risk metrics to decide what to hold and when to rotate.
Out-of-sample proof: lower risk and capital preservation. Drawdown 8.2% vs SPY 18.8%; beta ~0.08; Sharpe ~0.24; Calmar ~0.24. Cash-like safety with selective upside—safer, steadier exposure compared to the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 4%
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities, momentum/trend-following, risk-managed, cash proxy, multi-asset mix, rule-based strategy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks
META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
MRK
Merck & Co., Inc.
Stocks
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks