100 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily trend‑following plan: if the S&P 500 is above its 100‑day average, hold small‑cap value, leveraged Nasdaq‑100, leveraged long Treasuries, and gold; otherwise shift to a 50/50 mix of gold and long‑term Treasuries.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 100‑day average price (the average of the last 100 days).
If yes: 10% AVUV (US small, cheaper stocks), 23.34% TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100), 33.33% TMF (3× long US Treasuries), 33.33% GLD (gold).
If no: 50% GLD and 50% TLT (unlevered long US Treasuries).
Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~55% annualized return vs SPY ~36%; Sharpe ~2.68; Calmar ~6.82. A risk-on/risk-off strategy that leverages Nasdaq-100 and small-cap value on uptrends, hedged with gold and Treasuries for disciplined, high upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 0.34 | 0.11 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.57% | 15.45% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 137.73% | 14.44% | 3.89% | 5.39% | 0.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$23,772.87Regulatory Fees
$46.87
Total Slippage
$136.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, risk-on/off, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100, small-cap value, long treasuries, gold
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks