100 Day Moving Average GoldSmallCapQQQ with SPY Condition
Today’s Change (Aug 9, 2026)
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About
Daily trend-following: if SPY is above its 100‑day average, hold small‑cap value, 3x Nasdaq‑100, 3x long Treasuries, and gold; otherwise hold 50/50 gold and long Treasuries. Rebalances daily; leveraged ETFs mean big swings.
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 100‑day average price (the average of the last 100 trading days).
If above: hold AVUV 10% (US small, cheaper stocks), TQQQ 23.34% (3x Nasdaq‑100, very volatile), TMF 33.33% (3x long US Treasuries), GLD 33.33% (gold).
If not: hold 50% GLD and 50% TLT (long US Treasuries, not leveraged).
Rebalances daily. Aim: aggressive in uptrends, defensive in downtrends.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~25.9%, Calmar ~1.82, 464 days tested. Trend-following with gold and Treasuries offers solid risk-adjusted growth and diversification vs the S&P 500, though bear-market drawdowns may be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187.04% | 16.65% | 3.42% | 5.97% | 0.87 | |
| 134.68% | 13.27% | 1.1% | -2.99% | 0.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$23,467.86Regulatory Fees
$63.28
Total Slippage
$145.81
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, spy 100-day ma, gold, treasuries, small-cap value, leveraged nasdaq 100
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total