10 CR of KMLM > 0 -> Go KMLM/BIL, ELSE SPY
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
If KMLM’s last 10‑day return is positive, split between KMLM (managed futures) and BIL (T‑Bills); otherwise hold SPY (S&P 500). It uses KMLM’s short‑term performance as a simple macro regime switch.
Each day it checks how KMLM (a managed‑futures fund that follows trends in commodities, currencies, and interest rates) did over the last 10 trading days. If the gain is above 0, it puts ~50% in KMLM and ~50% in BIL (short‑term T‑Bills). If not, it goes 100% to SPY (S&P 500). It rebalances only when the signal flips or the 50/50 mix drifts by ~10%. In KMLM mode you’re exposed to trends in oil, gold, grains, currencies, and rates; in SPY mode you own large U.S. companies.
Out-of-sample edge: stronger risk-adjusted returns with lower drawdowns vs the S&P 500. OOS Sharpe ~1.27 vs ~1.06; annualized return ~20.24% vs 18.79%; max drawdown ~12.9% vs ~18.8% (Calmar ~1.57).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.96% | 13.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 208.82% | 24.08% | 4.12% | 7.7% | 1.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$30,881.79Regulatory Fees
$102.26
Total Slippage
$671.96
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, managed futures, momentum, risk management, equities vs cash, trend proxy