02 qqqRSI s70 50/40 (131/31) 2.14sh 43.3sd s10-18-11
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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About
A trend filter steers between risk-on and defense: in uptrends it’s mostly 3× S&P 500 with quick flips into volatility on overheated signals, plus a staples sleeve; in downtrends it adds cash/Treasuries/gold and uses UVXY on spikes.
Step 1: Is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its 200‑day average?
- Uptrend: ~78% in a 3× S&P fund (UPRO). It briefly flips to a volatility fund (UVXY—often jumps when stocks drop) when a short‑term “hot/cold” score (RSI) is very high, and sometimes to 3× semis (SOXL). ~22% in Consumer Staples (XLP).
- Downtrend: ~7% each in T‑Bills (BIL), long Treasuries (TLT) and Gold (GLD). The other ~78% goes to UVXY on spikes, briefly to 3× S&P on extreme selloffs, or else to Gold/T‑Bills/(and Treasuries if trending).
Regime-switching strategy aims to beat the S&P in real-world data: 3x long in uptrends, defensive/volatility hedges in downturns. OOS: ~37.3% vs ~35.3% SPY, Calmar ~1.29, max drawdown ~28.8% vs 8.9%. Higher upside, higher drawdown.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712.17% | 15.24% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.93 | |
| 11,584,869.96% | 120.27% | 4.62% | 9.29% | 2.07 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,158,496,995.94Regulatory Fees
$823,363.89
Total Slippage
$7,942,243.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, rsi extremes, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, s&p 500 focus, semiconductors, consumer staples, gold, treasuries, t‑bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks