🚂 V3.0 | [ETF Only] Gain Train DGAF | Deez | 3Yr AR: 154.9% DD: 17.2%
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
An ETF-only, multi‑strategy momentum system that rotates among dollar plays, bonds, commodities, gold, and semiconductors using RSI and trend filters. It allocates capital across several groups and applies hedges in overextended regimes, aiming for strong growth with controlled drawdown.
- The strategy runs a set of rules (groups) that decide which ETFs to own and how much to allocate to each group. It combines signals from momentum indicators (mainly RSI), trend checks (moving averages), and cross-asset comparisons to rotate into the strongest themes.
- A few big themes stand out: dollar strength/weakness plays (UUP/USDU), cash/short duration (BIL), commodities (DBC), gold (UGL), semiconductors (SOXL/SOXS) and broad market themes (SPY, SPHB, XLY, XLV, SMH, etc.).
- When momentum looks good, the system tends to push more weight into the strongest sleeves. When momentum looks weaker or risk is rising, it shifts toward hedges or less volatile parts of the menu.
- The weights (percent allocations) are explicit, so you end up with a blended portfolio rather than a single mega‑position. Some blocks explicitly call for long semis, some call for hedges, and some call for cash-like exposure.
- It uses only exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and levered/inverse variants as vehicles, which keeps liquidity in mind and allows easier implementation.
- Backtest notes: The description cites a 3-year annualized return around 154.9% with a drawdown of about 17.2%. Real results depend on execution, fees, slippage, and changes in market regimes.
- Important caveats: levered ETFs (like SOXL/SOXS) can amplify both gains and losses; multi‑signal strategies can become complex and may overfit, so beware in live trading and consider starting with a smaller allocation and proper risk controls if you try to implement.
Out-of-sample edge: ~42.7% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22.6%, Calmar ~1.76. An ETF-based, multi-asset momentum system rotating across themes and hedges, targeting higher growth with controlled drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Etf-based, multi-asset, momentum-rotation, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks