$ v1.1 of Risk On/Risk Off Hedgefundie (No K-1)
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, rate-aware risk-on/risk-off strategy: hide in short Treasuries during panics, defend when rates rise (USD + hedges), and run a refined HFEA mix (3x S&P 500 + 3x long Treasuries) when rates fall, with extra crash safeguards.
Rules-based switch:
• Panic high (volatility index jumps) → short‑term Treasuries.
• Use bonds vs T‑bills to read rates:
– Bonds leading → risk‑on: rotate among leveraged stock and long‑Treasury funds, buying the most beaten‑down picks (RSI = short‑term “hot/cold” meter).
– Rates rising → risk‑off: hold USD plus a hedge against either stocks or long bonds.
– Long rates falling → run HFEA (≈55% 3x S&P 500, 45% 3x long Treasuries); crash signal → T‑bills.
Rate-aware, crash-protected strategy that diversifies beyond the S&P 500. Out-of-sample ~19% annualized return with systematic hedges to guard capital in panics and adapt to rate environments, not just chase index returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 1.24 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410.03% | 13.96% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.85 | |
| 52,911.26% | 65.36% | 2.88% | -18.25% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,301,125.66Regulatory Fees
$24,150.19
Total Slippage
$207,948.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off, tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, leveraged etfs, rates-aware, crash protection, no k-1
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks