| TQQQ or not + Macro Logic
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based swing/rotation that mainly holds TQQQ (3x Nasdaq), buys oversold dips, and rides uptrends. In stress it shifts to cash (BIL), a volatility hedge (UVXY), or a mild short (PSQ). Bond and yield-curve cues guide when to step aside or re-enter.
It mostly rides TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). In panics it goes to cash (BIL) or a vol hedge (UVXY). It buys dips when RSI (0–100 ‘overbought/oversold’ score) is low, rides trends when price > 25‑day average, and uses bonds (BND, IEF vs TLT) to judge risk. If fear spikes (VIX ETFs), it may briefly hedge (UVXY) or short Nasdaq (PSQ). Sometimes, when the broad market firms, it tilts to small‑caps (URTY).
Out-of-sample, this rules-based strategy targets big upside (34% annualized) vs SPY’s ~23%, with risk controls: cash safety (BIL), volatility hedges (UVXY), and macro-bond signals to cut losses and protect during drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 1.19 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 57,980,985.8% | 151.63% | 5.01% | -1.18% | 2.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,798,108,579.71Regulatory Fees
$13,672,981.56
Total Slippage
$98,328,919.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, mean reversion, trend following, macro timing, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks