| TQQQ or not + Macro Logic
Today’s Change (Apr 4, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-switching plan: mostly own TQQQ in uptrends, buy deeply oversold dips, and quickly move to T‑Bills or volatility/short ETFs when markets overheat, plunge, or bond/yield‑curve signals flag danger.
Core idea: ride uptrends with TQQQ (3x Nasdaq); buy sharp dips; step aside or hedge fast in stress. 25‑day average = trend; RSI(10d) = “hot/cold” meter (low=oversold buys, very high=hedge). If drops are extreme, go to UVXY/PSQ or T‑Bills (BIL). It also reads bonds (IEF vs TLT, BND vs SPY) to de‑risk when the yield curve/ bonds warn.
Stronger upside: ~34% out-of-sample annualized return vs SPY ~23%, aided by trend-following and adaptive hedges using bonds/yield signals. But higher risk: drawdowns ~49% vs ~19% and lower risk-adjusted Sharpe (~0.86 vs ~1.37). Suitable for risk-tolerant growth seekers.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 1.18 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654.26% | 14.99% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.92 | |
| 54,689,908.63% | 149.28% | -4.61% | -6.83% | 2.08 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,469,000,862.77Regulatory Fees
$14,288,053.85
Total Slippage
$102,753,028.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedging, macro/yield-curve, leveraged etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks