| TQQQ or not + Macro Logic
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
All‑in tactical switcher. It rides TQQQ (triple‑tech) when trends are up or after oversold dips, parks in T‑bills during turbulence, and briefly uses volatility/short funds at extremes. Bond signals (curve shape and bonds vs stocks/cash) gate when to take risk.
Plain English map of terms: TQQQ = triple‑tech fund; QQQ/SPY = big stock indexes; BIL = T‑bills (cash); BND/IEF/TLT = bond funds; UVXY/VIXY = jump when fear rises; PSQ/SH = move opposite QQQ/SPY; RSI = 0–100 “hot/cold” meter; 25D MA = 25‑day average.
Logic: If tech is overheated or after violent bounces/crashes, use hedges (UVXY/PSQ) or step to cash (BIL). If selloffs look washed‑out, buy TQQQ (mean‑reversion). If the trend is up and markets are calm, hold TQQQ (momentum). Bond‑market tells (long>mid, bonds>stocks, bonds>cash) raise caution or delay re‑risking.
Out-of-sample: 34.97% annualized return vs SPY 22.95%; leverages tech momentum with hedges for turbulence. Built-in risk controls aim to limit chaos, but drawdowns are larger (~49% vs ~19%), trading higher risk for higher upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | 1.18 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 693.37% | 15.63% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.95 | |
| 58,274,111.06% | 153.73% | 1.69% | 1.95% | 2.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,827,421,105.55Regulatory Fees
$12,970,637.64
Total Slippage
$93,277,143.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedging, macro signals, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks