| TQQQ or not + Macro Logic
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A defensive market-timing strategy built around TQQQ. It chases tech when conditions look favorable, steps into cash-like T-bills when risk rises, and occasionally uses volatility or inverse funds during extreme stress.
This strategy is mainly a timing system for a high-octane tech fund, TQQQ. It wants to own TQQQ when markets look healthy or washed out and likely to rebound.
It checks for 4 things: short-term overheating, sharp selloffs, whether tech is above its recent trend, and whether bonds are acting stronger than stocks. If danger is high, it moves to BIL (a cash-like Treasury fund). In rare cases it uses UVXY or PSQ to benefit from market fear, or URTY for a small-company rally.
Out-of-sample edge: ~26.6% annualized return vs S&P ~21.1%, with adaptive hedges to cash-like assets in risk periods. Captures tech leadership upside with disciplined risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 1.18 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 57,555,796.87% | 141.88% | -1.22% | 9.96% | 2.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,755,589,687.07Regulatory Fees
$13,331,922.84
Total Slippage
$128,583,677.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged nasdaq, momentum, mean reversion, volatility hedge, macro regime, bond signal, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks