☠ TQQQ or BTAL or DBMF (Totally)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, regime-based, multi-asset approach that uses RSI, momentum, and volatility signals to pick an equal-weight basket of ETFs (including levered and hedge/alternative funds) appropriate to three market regimes (huge volatility, normal, and bond-oriented), with intent to adapt to changing market conditions.
- The strategy runs every trading day and splits decisions into three broad market regimes: Huge Volatility, Normal Market, and Bond-oriented.
- In each regime, it looks at a set of signals (RSI, cumulative returns, moving-average comparisons, max drawdown) to decide which assets to hold.
- The assets are mostly ETFs with built-in leverage or hedge roles: UVXY (volatility), TQQQ (leveraged tech), BTAL (anti-beta), DBMF (managed futures), plus a suite of bonds/equities (SPY, QQQ, VIX proxies, BND, IEF, TMF, etc.).
- When a regime signal is positive for multiple assets, the strategy uses equal cash weighting within that regime (100/100 in the code language) so each selected ETF gets the same allocation.
- The positions are adjusted daily (daily rebalancing).
- The objective is to capture upside in different regimes while attempting to damp risk via hedges and diversification, though the use of leverage and short-term signals can lead to sharp swings.
- Important caveat: this is a highly complex, rule-based system that relies on historical relationships and thresholds; real-world results depend on market regimes and may differ from backtests.
Regime-based, diversified ETF strategy with hedges and levered exposures. Out-of-sample: ~12.5% annualized return but higher drawdowns (~33%). It adds diversification and volatility-hedged exposure to complement, not replace, the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-based, multi-asset, leveraged/volatility hedged, momentum/mean-reversion, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks