🍺 pliny the elder 🍺 PRD 1.0
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based swing between risk-on and risk-off. In uptrends it rides leveraged S&P 500/Nasdaq funds; in pullbacks it buys dips; when overheated it hedges; if weak, it parks in T‑bills, Treasuries, and gold.
Each day it asks: is the market (SPY) above its 50/100/200‑day averages? If yes, go risk‑on with leveraged S&P 500 (UPRO/SSO) and Nasdaq (TQQQ). If price looks overheated (very high RSI), hedge with UVXY/VIXY or SQQQ. If it looks washed‑out (very low RSI), buy the dip. If trends are weak or recent losses are big, shift to safer T‑bills (BIL), Treasuries (VGIT/BSV), and gold (GLD). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~46.7% annualized return, ~0.98 Sharpe, ~0.75 Calmar vs S&P. A rules-based risk-on/risk-off framework uses leverage, hedges, and cash/gold to seek upside while moderating drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 2.61 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.48% | 14.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 123,820.71% | 64.34% | -1.27% | -4.34% | 1.15 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,392,071.02Regulatory Fees
$19,029.01
Total Slippage
$123,380.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean reversion, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, risk on/off, us equities, treasuries, gold
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VGIT
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks