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A symphony is an automated trading strategy โ Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily multi-factor strategy: rotate into leveraged equity ETFs on uptrends confirmed by moving averages and momentum, apply mean-reversion checks, and shift to risk-off hedges (bonds, gold, cash-like funds) during downturns.
Plain-language description of how this strategy operates:
- It runs daily and checks whether the market is in a solid uptrend using long-term price guides (moving averages like 50, 100, and 200 days).
- If the market looks healthy, it shifts into leveraged equity ETFs (like UPRO, SSO, or TQQQ) to try to capture big moves. The exact choice among these is decided by short-term momentum checks and a top-choice rule.
- There is also a mean-reversion component that can take advantage of prices moving too far from their usual levels, potentially providing a counter-move to the trend when it seems stretched.
- When risk signals rise or the trend weakens, the system moves toward safer assets (gold, government bonds, short-term Treasuries) to reduce exposure to equities.
- The system continually weighs several assets against each other but ultimately picks one best-fit asset each day to hold, with a daily rebalance that keeps positions current.
- The approach combines trend-following, breakout-style confirmation, and mean-reversion logic to try to harvest upside while limiting downside through risk-off periods.
Out-of-sample, this strategy seeks outsized upside in uptrends (46.7% vs 22.8% for SPY), aided by risk-off hedges. Best for investors who can tolerate higher drawdowns for potentially stronger returns than the S&P 500.
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OOS Start Date
Jan 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, breakout, mean-reversion, etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VGIT
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks