KMLM, TQQQ, full VIXY and PSQ
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based, momentum-driven strategy that mostly stays in cash, hedges with VIXY when risk rises, and selectively uses levered long bets (TQQQ, SOXL, SPXL) or inverse exposures (PSQ) based on short-term momentum signals, with light emphasis on KMLM and no automatic rebalancing.
A layman-friendly description will follow; see below.
High-level takeaways:
- The system mostly sits in cash and only tilts into assets when momentum signals fire.
- It heavily features VIXY (volatility) as a hedge when risk indicators are elevated (e.g., very high RSI readings on a broad tech proxy).
- When momentum across certain growth/tech/specific sectors looks favorable, it allocates to levered long bets (TQQQ for tech, SOXL for semiconductors, SPXL for broad indices).
- In weaker scenarios, it may tilt toward PSQ (inverse QQQ) to express a bet on declines or to reduce risk.
- The logic pays special attention to less-popular ETFs like KMLM but keeps checks relatively light on them; overall, leverage is primarily used via 3x products rather than leveraged shorting.
- There is no active rebalancing beyond the decision tree; the strategy operates with a fixed framework and a 0.1 corridor-width setting, with rebalance set to none.
- The network of nested checks uses a 10-day look-back for momentum (RSI-based) across tickers, with thresholds like 79 or around the 75–80 range indicating extreme momentum or risk signals.
What the structure means in practice:
- The outermost decision compares the current short-term momentum against a very high threshold. If that condition is true, VIXY gets a 40% allocation, signaling risk-off or hedging emphasis.
- If not, the engine explores alternative momentum cues across other tickers (e.g., QQQ-related proxies, value/defensive names like VTV, consumer staples XLP, growth/tech like VOOG, big-cap tilts like SPY/QQQ proxies, and sector ETFs). These paths can cascade several levels deep, often ending in a decision to place a high-weight on levered long bets or to tilt toward a short/defensive posture.
- In a named branch (“Tue KMLM with IYT, IGIB, KMLM 20d checks”), momentum across a mix of broad-market and niche ETFs is probed with a 20-day look-back on KMLM, suggesting a momentum-check hybrid that uses both traditional and less-popular tickers to confirm a trend.
- The final portfolio layout generally concentrates on a few core assets: VIXY (hedge), TQQQ (tech leverage), SOXL (semis), SPXL (broad market leverage), LABU (biotech leverage), and PSQ (inverse QQQ) for risk-off periods; it may also tilt to sector or quality ETFs (XLP, XLK, XLY, VOOG,IGIB, IYT) when signals align.
Risks and caveats:
- Heavy use of 3x levered ETFs magnifies both gains and losses and can lead to large drawdowns in volatile markets.
- The strategy relies on short-term momentum signals (10-day RSI) which can be noisy and may produce whipsaws in sideways markets.
- The inclusion of VIXY as a hedge means you’ll often be allocating to volatility futures, which can decay over time and behave differently than expected during calm periods.
- The approach uses inverse exposure (PSQ) in some branches, which introduces additional path dependency and tracking error relative to a simple long/short mix.
- The specific tickers include some less-popular ETFs (e.g., KMLM) whose behavior and liquidity may be less familiar to typical investors; understanding those products is important for risk and execution.
- There is no active rebalancing beyond the decision-tree mechanics (rebalance : none). This means positions can drift if signals change but the engine doesn’t automatically rebalance continuously.
Intended audience and use-case:
- Suitable for an investor who wants a rule-based, mostly-cash, momentum-driven approach with hedging when volatility spikes, and who is comfortable with levered ETFs and occasional inverse exposure. It’s not a long-only, buy-and-hold strategy and it requires attention to complex signals and liquidity in the leveraged/alternative ETFs.
How this maps to the user-provided description:
- “Less checks with kmlm, yolo tqqq, full vixy and psq, no leveraged shorting” is reflected in the nesting where KMLM appears but with relatively light checks, TQQQ is used in several momentum paths, VIXY is used as a strong hedge (40/100 weight in some branches), PSQ appears as the inverse hedge in others, and there is no explicit shorting via leveraged inverse products beyond PSQ. The overall emphasis remains on VIXY and PSQ for hedges and on levered long bets (TQQQ, SOXL, SPXL) when momentum signals support growth tilt. The rebalance setting is none, and the strategy operates within a 0.1 corridor width, i.e., a tight, signal-driven allocation framework.
Diversifies with VIXY hedging and selective leverage, aiming to reduce risk in volatile markets. But out-of-sample SPY shines: +19.5% vs -5.8% and larger drawdowns (15.6% vs 5.1%). Best as diversification, not core.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 1.24 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.18% | 13.53% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 302,031.63% | 368.27% | 1.45% | 3.84% | 3.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$30,213,163.40Regulatory Fees
$54,658.90
Total Slippage
$382,924.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 17, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative, multi-asset, momentum, volatility-based, leveraged etfs, inverse/hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks