đź”± JCB Mod: TQQQ for the long term | 3Yr BT | AR 158% | MDD 43.1% | CR 3.66
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, risk-on/risk-off strategy built around 3x Nasdaq ETFs. It buys TQQQ on dips, steps aside or shorts when markets look overheated, and sometimes parks in long Treasuries or volatility. Heavy tilt to mega-cap tech and semis.
1) Big trend check: if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, we’re “risk‑on”; if not, favor either short Nasdaq (SQQQ) or long Treasuries (EDV), based on which looks stronger.
2) In risk‑on, use RSI (a 0–100 hot/cold gauge) and recent drops to decide: buy TQQQ/TECL on sharp selloffs; shift to TMF/UVXY when things look too hot; otherwise hold TQQQ or a rotating basket of top mega‑cap tech. Uses 3x ETFs—big swings.
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq-3x strategy outperforms the S&P 500 on a risk-adjusted basis: Sharpe ~1.03 vs ~0.99, annualized return ~54.6% vs ~18.6%, Calmar ~1.57. More upside with hedges, though higher drawdowns are possible.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | 0.47 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 15,138,419.4% | 129.25% | -0.89% | -1.48% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,513,851,940.44Regulatory Fees
$4,056,776.62
Total Slippage
$29,116,553.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend-following, momentum, nasdaq-100, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, shorting, bonds hedge, volatility hedge, mega-cap tech rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Stocks
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks