Investors Collaborative: Volatility Weighted TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Keep ~85% in T‑bills. Actively rotate the other ~15% daily using trend and “heat” gauges: ride TQQQ in uptrends; if overheated, flip to UVXY; in downtrends, buy deep dips (TECL/UPRO) or defend with SQQQ/TLT. Main exposure is big U.S. tech.
Barbell: ~85% in BIL (T‑bills). The other ~15% holds one fund at a time and rebalances daily.
• If SPY is above its 200‑day avg (uptrend): hold TQQQ (3× Nasdaq—big U.S. tech) unless it’s very “hot” (RSI>~80), then switch to UVXY (jumps when fear/vol spikes).
• If below (downtrend): on very “cold” readings (RSI<~30) buy TECL/UPRO for bounces; else pick SQQQ (3× inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (Treasuries) by who’s stronger; sometimes TQQQ if short‑term trend firms. RSI = 0–100 heat meter.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.55 vs SPY ~1.06; drawdown ~8% vs ~19%; Calmar ~1.88. Core ~85% in Treasuries lowers risk; tactical sleeve targets tech uptrends with hedges—delivering stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, regime switching, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks