Investors Collaborative: Volatility Weighted TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Daily-rebalanced, volatility-weighted levered-tech strategy with a heavy cash ballast. Uses RSI and trend signals to tilt among leveraged tech ETFs and hedges, but most days holds ~85% in BIL (short-term Treasuries) and ~15% in TQQQ, with dynamic rotations to UVXY, TECL, UPRO, SQQQ, and TLT based on momentum and trend signals.
- It starts with mostly cash (BIL) and a small TQQQ position. It rebalances daily.
- Signals come from: (1) RSI (momentum) on various assets, especially TQQQ; (2) SPY’s price vs its 200-day moving average (long-term trend); (3) a 20-day moving average check on TQQQ for a shorter trend signal; (4) relative strength checks across TECL, UPRO, SQQQ, and UVXY; (5) a top-1 selection between SQQQ and TLT using RSI, with a paste of their moving-average filter.
- When TQQQ looks extremely overbought (RSI > ~79) or the market shows certain trend conditions, the model may tilt into hedges or volatility plays (UVXY, SQQQ, TLT) to reduce risk.
- When SPY is in a confirmed uptrend (above 200-day MA) and other internal signals permit, the model may allocate to leveraged tech (TECL or UPRO) or keep light exposure to TQQQ.
- The default end-state allocation you’ll most often see is about 85% in BIL and 15% in TQQQ (i.e., mostly cash with a modest tech tilt), but the daily rules can rotate into hedges or other levered ETFs based on the signals.
- The plan is to combine momentum, trend, and volatility signals to balance the upside potential of levered tech with the safety of cash-like assets and hedges.
Risk-controlled levered-tech strategy with cash ballast and hedges. OOS Sharpe 1.55 vs SPY 1.06; drawdown 8.3% vs 18.8%; Calmar 1.88. Higher risk-adjusted return and far better downside protection than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 1,286.01% | 20% | 0.28% | 0.69% | 2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$138,601.40Regulatory Fees
$158.72
Total Slippage
$523.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility-weighted, leveraged-equities, risk-managed, tactical-allocation, signal-driven
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks