Investors Collaborative: Volatility Weighted TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A mostly cash strategy with a small, high-risk trading sleeve that tries to ride tech rallies, step aside when markets look overheated, and sometimes bet against stocks or hide in bonds.
Most of the money stays in very short-term Treasury bills (BIL).
A small slice makes aggressive bets using leveraged funds. First it asks: is the U.S. stock market in a healthy long-term uptrend (SPY above its 200-day average)? If yes, it usually buys TQQQ, a turbocharged bet on big tech, unless the market looks overheated—then it briefly switches to UVXY, a bet on market fear.
If the market is not in a healthy uptrend, it uses short-term “too hot / too cold” signals to choose among TQQQ, SQQQ (a bet against the Nasdaq), TECL, UPRO, or TLT (long Treasury bonds).
Out-of-sample, stronger risk-adjusted returns (Calmar ~1.52, Sharpe ~1.30) with far smaller drawdowns (≈8.3% vs 18.8% for S&P). Cash-heavy core plus disciplined tactical sleeve seeks tech upside with downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 1,388.66% | 19.7% | -0.81% | 1.56% | 1.98 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$148,865.87Regulatory Fees
$198.29
Total Slippage
$616.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend following, overbought/oversold signals, cash-heavy, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks