Investors Collaborative: Volatility Weighted TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link)
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A mostly cash‑like portfolio (≈85% in T‑Bills) with a small daily‑tactical sleeve (≈15%) that flips among leveraged tech, broad‑market, inverse, and volatility ETFs using a trend filter and a simple 0–100 “heat” gauge (RSI).
About 85% sits in BIL (T‑Bills, cash‑like). The other ~15% rotates daily using two simple ideas: trend and “heat.” Trend: if the market (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, it’s an uptrend. Heat (RSI 0–100): >80 = very hot, <30 = very cold.
Uptrend: usually hold TQQQ (3× Nasdaq). If things look too hot, briefly hedge with UVXY (volatility).
Downtrend: try oversold bounces (TECL or UPRO). If weakness persists, hold SQQQ (3× inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (Treasuries), whichever looks stronger short‑term.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P 500: oos Sharpe 1.55 vs 1.06, Calmar 1.88, and max drawdown 8.3% vs 18.8%. An 85% cash-like core lowers volatility, while a tactical sleeve provides selective upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681.5% | 15.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 1,290.92% | 20.08% | 1.01% | -0.71% | 2.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$139,092.18Regulatory Fees
$158.50
Total Slippage
$522.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, rsi, moving average, volatility hedge, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks