* Daily: Risk On - TQQQ/Risk Off - Bonds (60d CR BND > BIL + SPY 20d DD < 180d DD) 10/4/2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily switch: ride TQQQ when risk improves and bonds are supportive; hide in Treasuries or T‑bills when markets weaken; briefly flip to UVXY when Nasdaq looks overheated.
Each day it holds one ETF:
1) If TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) is extremely “hot” (10‑day RSI>79) → UVXY (volatility hedge).
2) Else if the S&P 500 just fell fast (its inverse SH up >5% in 10 days) → SHY (short‑term Treasuries).
3) Else if bonds (BND) beat cash‑like bonds (GSY) over 60 days: if recent max drop (20d) is smaller than over 6 months, buy TQQQ; otherwise TMF (3x long Treasuries).
4) Else → BIL (T‑bills).
Dynamic risk-managed strategy diversifying beyond the S&P 500 with rule-based hedges and bond timing. Aims to reduce large drawdowns and provide crash protection as a portfolio satellite. Not a core replacement; out-of-sample returns lag SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 1.13 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 1,799,622.54% | 97.65% | 3.6% | 8.03% | 1.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$179,972,254.42Regulatory Fees
$395,914.71
Total Slippage
$2,833,125.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, treasuries, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GSY
Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks