đź§Ş BlackSwan Portfolio | Cashen Mod
Today’s Change (Apr 4, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily plan: sit in T‑Bills unless short‑term Treasuries have risen recently. When “on,” hold 3x Nasdaq‑100 and 3x S&P 500 50/50—except after a huge Nasdaq up day, when it flips to 3x inverse Nasdaq to fade the spike.
Each day:
1) If SHY (1–3yr US Treasuries) has risen over the last 5 trading days, take risk; otherwise park in BIL (1–3mo T‑Bills).
2) When risk‑on: if QQQ’s last‑day move was under +3%, buy TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) and UPRO (3x S&P 500) 50/50. If QQQ jumped ≥ +3%, buy SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq‑100). Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~59% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, with a risk-control regime (cash when risk-off) and 3x leveraged Nasdaq/S&P exposure on risk-on days. Higher potential gains come with larger drawdowns—expect higher volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 1.82 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710.67% | 13.87% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.84 | |
| 70,632.46% | 50.27% | 3.87% | 3.55% | 1.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,073,245.98Regulatory Fees
$27,106.66
Total Slippage
$176,356.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Daily tactical, trend filter, leveraged etfs, risk switch, cash/t‑bills, mean reversion, momentum
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total