đź§Ş BlackSwan Portfolio | Cashen Mod
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily plan: sit in T‑Bills unless short‑term Treasuries have risen recently. When “on,” hold 3x Nasdaq‑100 and 3x S&P 500 50/50—except after a huge Nasdaq up day, when it flips to 3x inverse Nasdaq to fade the spike.
Each day:
1) If SHY (1–3yr US Treasuries) has risen over the last 5 trading days, take risk; otherwise park in BIL (1–3mo T‑Bills).
2) When risk‑on: if QQQ’s last‑day move was under +3%, buy TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) and UPRO (3x S&P 500) 50/50. If QQQ jumped ≥ +3%, buy SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq‑100). Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers outsized upside vs the S&P 500 (about 65.8% vs 22.3% annualized) with solid risk-adjusted performance (Sharpe ~1.39, Calmar ~1.20). Expect higher drawdowns in volatility, but regime-based risk control aims to protect long-term gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 1.82 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852.48% | 14.68% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.89 | |
| 108,260.78% | 52.92% | 7.84% | 13.69% | 1.17 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,836,077.99Regulatory Fees
$27,390.30
Total Slippage
$236,483.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Daily tactical, trend filter, leveraged etfs, risk switch, cash/t‑bills, mean reversion, momentum
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total