-bk-I 8/13 200d LETF MA Risk On/Off | 09/13/23 mod
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based market-timing strategy that aggressively buys leveraged stock funds in strong trends, but rotates into cash, gold, oil, dollar, bonds, or bearish funds when markets look weak or overheated.
This strategy splits money into 6 mini-portfolios. Each one watches a market area like big tech, the S&P 500, banks, chip stocks, utilities, or Treasury bonds. If that area looks healthy, it buys a boosted version to amplify gains.
If it looks weak, overheated, or crash-prone, it shifts into safer places like Treasury bills, gold, the U.S. dollar, oil, defensive stock sectors, or funds that rise when markets fall.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets far higher upside and better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P: ~50.8% vs 20.8% annualized; Sharpe ~1.73 vs 1.32; Calmar ~2.14. Drawdowns are larger (~23.7% vs ~18.8%), but hedges boost durable gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.63% | 13.39% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.83 | |
| 2,205.75% | 79.95% | -2.36% | -1.72% | 2.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$230,574.91Regulatory Fees
$643.99
Total Slippage
$4,965.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off, multi-asset, momentum, trend-following, defensive hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks